Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 94.476793 108.454986 124.935753 146.119622 173.112138 207.065660 2.542242e+02
2024-11-03 80.558996 99.120233 123.554964 159.385046 213.131955 295.781352 4.451190e+02
2024-11-10 75.730834 98.578286 131.584036 186.153676 282.576955 468.991632 9.523771e+02
2024-11-17 66.207739 88.994300 123.755099 185.681897 307.878725 588.890888 1.609157e+03
2024-11-24 58.435504 80.339110 115.080999 180.510132 321.353626 697.723483 2.650210e+03
2024-12-01 53.289612 74.786064 110.133759 180.333419 345.252946 865.145725 5.331043e+03
2024-12-08 49.645718 71.024899 107.402789 183.501861 379.132224 1123.745340 1.601803e+04
2024-12-15 46.199759 67.100651 103.645116 183.411669 404.952761 1414.381609 9.642187e+04
2024-12-22 42.075374 61.568396 96.116540 173.172090 396.062678 1521.429135 1.254690e+06
2024-12-29 40.209705 59.705476 95.196600 177.874663 438.214376 2102.887390 NaN
2025-01-05 37.554868 56.193348 90.608480 172.685684 443.740324 2453.726700 NaN
2025-01-12 36.139260 54.747096 89.904466 177.066904 489.384978 3576.908111 NaN
2025-01-19 33.321410 50.917534 84.708249 170.858805 499.077010 4675.790528 NaN
2025-01-26 32.612901 50.941133 87.636832 188.374701 644.863394 16565.984927 NaN
2025-02-02 32.867876 52.811567 94.992187 223.271447 987.061868 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 30.966775 50.232887 91.752156 222.713857 1092.085746 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 28.984658 47.290711 87.196918 215.966437 1134.069597 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 27.538096 45.294469 84.630679 215.739704 1256.175196 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 26.433473 43.889555 83.301030 219.880602 1464.417727 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 25.259719 42.231517 81.089866 219.762892 1632.987436 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 23.681116 39.603725 76.081319 206.420256 1541.245694 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 22.973919 38.766864 75.615287 212.535203 1861.186053 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 21.866796 36.992495 72.468462 205.789031 1892.990902 NaN NaN